Peter Suber has published his annual predictions for all things Open Access-related in the December Open Access Newsletter. His main predictions in outline:
- more Open Access policies from funders and universities
- institutional repositories will continue to spread
- funding agencies with weak OA policies will come under pressure to tighten them
- the key issue for funder mandates will be the length of the embargo
- publishers that are not already “Green” (i.e. allow authors to post versions of their accepted articles) will come under pressure to become so
- more publishers will adopt hybrid OA policies
- book publishers will come to see that free online full-text *reading* will increase net sales
There are also links to the previous years’ predictions, so you can check out his track record: a quick look shows he’s much more right than wrong.
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